by Ofek Jerassi Comment Closed




Eurovision 2025 Betting Odds: Just hours before the first semi-final broadcast of Eurovision 2025, we examined what the betting tables reveal about the chances of each participating country to qualify for the final. These are the significant changes in the betting odds table!

Last night (Monday), the first two general rehearsals for the first semi-final took place. Today, the third and final general rehearsal, also known as the “Family Show,” will be held-just before the first semi-final is broadcast live this evening at 21:00. It is important to note that this year, for the third consecutive time, only the public at home will determine which acts qualify for the final, while the jury will serve only as a backup. The complete betting odds table is later in the article!




Latest Betting Odds: Who Are the Favorites to Advance?

Many of us are eager to know tonight’s expected results, and the betting tables may provide some clues. Will these predictions reflect the actual outcome? Here are the latest available data.

Now, after the initial rehearsals and as the picture becomes clearer ahead of the live shows, are there any changes in the betting odds? Here are the current standings:

A review of the current betting table reveals several shifts in country placements since the start of the general rehearsals:

  • Sweden remains in first place.

  • Estonia holds on to second place.

  • The Netherlands rises to third place from fourth.

  • Ukraine drops to fourth from third.

  • Albania remains in fifth place.

  • Cyprus holds steady at sixth.

  • Poland climbs to seventh from eighth.

  • Belgium moves up from ninth to eighth.

  • Norway falls from seventh to ninth.

  • San Marino remains in tenth place.

Among the countries currently not predicted to qualify for the final:

  • Slovenia is in 11th place, very close to the tenth spot.

  • Iceland is in 12th place, unchanged.

  • Azerbaijan is in 13th place, unchanged.

  • Portugal rises to 14th from last place (15th).

  • Croatia drops to last place (15th) from 14th.




Credit: eurovisionworld.com




The Significance of Eurovision Betting Odds

The betting odds for Eurovision 2025 are based on numerous individuals wagering money on countries they believe might win the upcoming contest. With all songs now revealed, the betting table has transformed into an expectation table, much of which will materialize while some predictions may prove inaccurate. At this stage, we can clearly identify the favorites to win the competition and which countries have little chance of victory. While it’s possible to roughly gauge where each country might rank in Eurovision, we should anticipate both positive and negative surprises.

How Accurate Are the Betting Tables?

Looking back at 2018: In the first semi-final, the countries expected to qualify for the final according to the betting tables were Israel, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Bulgaria, Greece, Austria, Lithuania, Armenia, and Belgium. In reality, Greece, Armenia, and Belgium did not make it to the final. Surprisingly, Albania-ranked only 17th in the betting tables-managed to qualify. In the second semi-final, the favorites were Norway, Sweden, Moldova, Ukraine, Australia, Poland, Netherlands, Denmark, Hungary, and Latvia. In practice, Poland and Latvia did not advance, while Serbia, which was ranked just 16th, reached the final.

And what about 2022? Ukraine was ranked first, Italy second, and Sweden third. In reality, Ukraine did win the contest, Italy finished sixth, and Sweden came in fourth. The United Kingdom and Spain, which were ranked fourth and fifth in the betting, ended up finishing second and third, respectively.

The conclusion is clear: betting tables are accurate about 70%-80% of the time, so surprises are likely tonight during the reveal of the finalists.




Running Order: First Semi-Final Eurovision 2025

  1. Iceland: VAEB – “Róa”

  2. Poland: Justyna Steczkowska – “GAJA”

  3. Slovenia: Klemen Slakonja – “How Much Time Do We Have Left”

  4. Estonia: Tommy Cash – “Espresso Macchiato”

  5. Ukraine: Ziferblat – “Bird of Pray”

  6. Sweden: KAJ – “Bara bada bastu”

  7. Portugal: NAPA – “Deslocado”

  8. Norway: Kyle Alessandro – “Lighter”

  9. Belgium: Red Sebastian – “Strobe Lights”

  10. Azerbaijan: Mamagama – “Run With U”

  11. San Marino: Gabry Ponte – “Tutta L’Italia”

  12. Albania: Shkodra Elektronike – “Zjerm”

  13. Netherlands: Claude – “C’est La Vie”

  14. Croatia: Marko Bošnjak – “Poison Cake”

  15. Cyprus: Theo Evan – “Shh”




Eurovision 2025: This will be Switzerland’s 65th participation in the Eurovision Song Contest. Switzerland joined the competition in 1956, being one of the seven founding countries, and has won three times over the years. Its most recent victory was at the last Eurovision in 2025, with Nemo’s song “The Code.” This win follows Switzerland’s previous victory in 1988 with the song “Ne partez pas sans moi,” performed by international singer Céline Dion.