Eurovision betting odds: Sweden leads in first place – Israel right behind! What are the significant changes in the betting table over the past week? Six new Eurovision songs were selected last week – Czechia, Ireland, Ukraine, Latvia, Finland, and Malta. How has the table changed during the week? Check out the updated betting odds table!

Four days ago, Sweden claimed the top spot in Eurovision 2025 betting odds, dethroning Israel. Despite not yet selecting their song, Sweden holds an 11% chance of winning. Israel follows in second place with an 8% chance, with their song set to be revealed next month. France has climbed from sixth to third place with a 7% chance of victory. Belgium, represented by Red Sebastian and the song “Strobe Lights“, occupies fourth place after leading the charts last week. Who’s in fifth place? The full table is available later in the article!

Six countries unveiled their songs this week:

• Finland: On Saturday, the song “Ich Komme“ performed by Erika Vikman was selected. It explores an intimate and sexual experience while using German words and expressions. Finland was ranked 10th last week but has now climbed to fifth place with Vikman’s selection.
• Ukraine: The Ukrainian audience chose the band Ziferblat to represent their country with the song “Bird of Pray“. Ukraine, which was ranked fifth in the betting tables exactly a week ago, is now ranked eighth and is expected to drop further in the coming days. It seems that bettors are expressing disappointment with Ukraine’s entry.
• Czechia: The story surrounding the Czech song is fascinating. In an unprecedented move, Czechia decided to reveal their song during Malta’s semi-final held last week. They also chose not to reveal the Eurovision version of “Kiss Kiss Goodbye“ but rather an acoustic version that differs from what will be performed in May at the competition! The acoustic version seems to have left a positive impression on the European audience, boosting Czechia from 25th place to 10th.
• Malta: On Saturday, singer Miriana Conte and her song “Kant“ were selected after winning first place in Malta’s national Eurovision selection. Malta, which was ranked 16th last week, has climbed slightly to 15th place.
• Ireland: Last week, Norwegian singer Emmy was chosen to represent Ireland at Eurovision with her song “Laika Party“. However, bettors do not think she will do well as Bambie Thug, and they seem disappointed by Ireland’s choice, as Emmy dropped from 15th place to 17th after her selection.
• Latvia: The country that has only made it to the Eurovision final once in the last eight years is expected to fail again this year—so European bettors believe. Latvia, which was ranked 22nd last week, has plummeted to 30th after Tautumeitas was chosen to represent their country with their ethnic song “Bur man laimi“.

Additional changes in the table over the last week:

• United Kingdom: The UK fell from ninth place last week to 13th amid rumors that girl group Remember Monday has been chosen to represent them. The group participated in season eight of “The Voice UK” in 2019 but did not achieve significant success. This seems to have disappointed European bettors.
• Greece: Singer Klavdia saw a significant drop this week—11 days after being selected for Eurovision. Greece, which was ranked tenth last week, has now fallen to 16th place.
• Poland: The Eastern European country hosting “Polskich Kwalifikacji” this Friday, experienced a sharp drop in expectations. Poland was ranked 14th last week but has now fallen to 21st as anticipation for its local competition remains low.
• Spain: About a week ago, Spain selected its entry “Esa Diva“, but it has since seen a significant drop. Before selecting its song, Spain was ranked 16th; now it sits at 27th place. European audiences seem disappointed and do not believe that singer Melody can secure a high placement.
• Lithuania: The Baltic nation saw a significant rise this week from 23rd place to 18th. After five semi-finals, Lithuania is expected to select its song and representative for Eurovision this coming weekend. Could this impact their ranking further?
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Credit: eurovisionworld.com

Is There Significance to the Betting Odds?

It’s important to note that betting tables are based on many people wagering their money on countries they believe might win the upcoming Eurovision. At this stage, the betting table is merely a table of expectations, of which only a small part will materialize and a large part will prove wrong. It is partly based on countries’ results in previous years and partly on songs already chosen to compete in national selections, or songs competing in local Eurovision preliminaries. These tables may change thousands of times until May.

Two years ago, Sweden led the betting tables from the song selection until their big win in Liverpool. Three years ago, after the war between Ukraine and Russia broke out, Ukraine topped the betting tables and eventually won the competition. In contrast, four years ago, Malta led the betting tables for most of the Eurovision season, with Italy overtaking Malta only in the rehearsal week. Although Italy won first place, Malta ultimately ranked only seventh.