Eurovision 2025 Betting Odds: Sweden, Finland, and France lead the charts this week. Dramatic shifts in betting odds observed over the past week and a half!

Six new songs were revealed in the last week and a half, causing an earthquake in the betting tables. Poland, Estonia, Norway, Lithuania, Armenia, and Azerbaijan revealed their entries. How did these releases impact the betting tables? Full table below!

This week, Sweden maintained its first place in the betting tables and even strengthened its position, now standing at a 12% chance of winning—up 1% from last week. Notably, the Swedish entry for Eurovision has yet to be selected. For comparison, at the same time last year, Ukraine, with the song “Teresa & Maria,” led the betting tables with an 18% chance. Switzerland, the winner of Eurovision 2024, was ranked only 15th at this stage, with their song “The Code” revealed later.

Finland and France on the Rise

In second place is Finland, climbing from fifth place over the last week and a half. Finland will be represented by singer Erika Vikman with the song “Ich Komme.” France, which has not yet selected its song, remains in third place for the past week and a half, with high expectations for singer Louane‘s song.

Six additional countries revealed their Eurovision songs this week:

Estonia: Last Saturday, as expected, “Espresso Macchiato” by Tommy Cash was selected. With this selection, Estonia rose from seventh to fourth place. Will the song actually achieve such a high position at Eurovision? Will both audiences and judges enjoy the song? Only time will tell.

Lithuania: The Lithuanian rock song “Tavo akys,” selected last Saturday, has strengthened the country’s position. Lithuania is now ranked 15th, up from 18th before the song’s selection. The fact that few rock songs have been chosen so far has contributed to strong support.

Azerbaijan: The Azerbaijani song, “Run With U,” was revealed two days ago, and Azerbaijan also rose slightly in the betting tables—though not significantly. A week and a half ago, Azerbaijan was in 23rd place; now it’s in 20th. Will Azerbaijan continue this upward trend next week?

Poland: Finally, it happened! After Justyna Steczkowska targeted Eurovision last year, she is now set to perform “GAJA” at Eurovision 2025. Notably, Justyna is no stranger to Eurovision, having represented Poland exactly 30 years ago, finishing in 18th place. Although Justyna’s selection was expected, Poland fell slightly from 21st place a week and a half ago to 23rd. Did bettors feel disappointed with her vocal performance at the national selection? Possibly. But Justyna may still surprise everyone in Basel!

Armenia: Parg was chosen to represent the South Caucasus republic with a song partly produced by Israeli music producer Yinon Yahel. Armenia, ranked 19th a week and a half ago, crashed to 25th place. Bettors express disappointment with the song and Parg’s vocal performance at the Armenian national selection.

Norway: Will the country, qualifying for the final seven consecutive years, do so again this year? Norway chose “Lighter” by Kyle Alessandro last Saturday, but betting tables look grim. Norway is ranked 27th, two places lower than last week.

Another important country is Italy. Last Saturday, the Sanremo Festival was held, and winning singer Olly received an invitation to represent Italy at Eurovision 2025 with his song “Balorda nostalgia.” Olly has not yet responded, and many believe he will decline. Amid this uncertainty, Italy crashed from sixth to 14th place!

More Notable Changes in Betting Tables

Israel: The Israeli song has not yet been revealed, but Israel dropped significantly from second place with an 8% chance a week and a half ago to fifth place with only a 5% chance now. Will the situation improve after the song’s release? Probably so!

Belgium: The Belgian song “Strobe Lights,” which previously topped betting tables, dropped further this week, now ranked only seventh.

Portugal: The Iberian country continues to strengthen, climbing to sixth place! The Portuguese song has not yet been selected, but bettors have their eyes on two main songs they believe could bring Portugal to the Eurovision top 10: “I Wanna Destroy U” by Henka and “Tristeza” by Josh. Will one of these songs indeed represent Portugal? We’ll know in three weeks.

Malta: Did Miriana Conte captivate everyone with her “Kant“? Malta, ranked 21st two weeks ago (before the song’s selection), is now eighth among bettors. Will Malta surprise and qualify for the final after three consecutive eliminations? It seems likely!

Austria: The Austrian song continues to rise, entering the top 10 this week! Austria is currently ninth, up from 14th a week and a half ago. The Austrian song has yet to be revealed, but anticipation grows.

Ukraine: Nearly two weeks after selecting band Ziferblat to represent Ukraine at Eurovision 2025, bettors show little confidence in Ukraine’s chances this year. Last year, Ukraine ranked first after their song’s selection; now they’re only 13th—a drop of five places from last week.

Albania: The Albanian song “Zjerm,” selected in late December, registered significant growth for the first time and is no longer at the bottom. Albania rose again this week, now ranked 26th.

Spain: Singer Melody is this season’s biggest disappointment among bettors! Expectations from Spain’s Benidorm Fest were high, and Spain ranked 16th upon revealing pre-selection songs. But after selecting “Esa Diva,” Spain crashed to 35th place! Bettors express massive disappointment. Although Spain usually doesn’t succeed in Eurovision, it hasn’t been ranked this low in recent years—indicating a severe lack of confidence in the Spanish song.

Credit: eurovisionworld.com

Is There Significance to the Betting Odds?

It’s important to note that betting tables are based on many people wagering their money on countries they believe might win the upcoming Eurovision. At this stage, the betting table is merely a table of expectations, of which only a small part will materialize and a large part will prove wrong. It is partly based on countries’ results in previous years and partly on songs already chosen to compete in national selections, or songs competing in local Eurovision preliminaries. These tables may change thousands of times until May.

Two years ago, Sweden led the betting tables from the song selection until their big win in Liverpool. Three years ago, after the war between Ukraine and Russia broke out, Ukraine topped the betting tables and eventually won the competition. In contrast, four years ago, Malta led the betting tables for most of the Eurovision season, with Italy overtaking Malta only in the rehearsal week. Although Italy won first place, Malta ultimately ranked only seventh.